Now that the McCain campaign has pulled out of Michigan, the state Republican Party is desperate to keep the money flowing in so they can continue to spend on state and local races. Michigan GOP Chairman Saul Anuzis sent out an email Tuesday pointing to one recent poll that looked relatively favorable for them and ignoring several others where they were losing. That email read:
Just yesterday, a new poll was released on the presidential race in Michigan and it tells us what Michigan Republicans already knew—this race is close! The new numbers show McCain-Palin down by only 5 points to Obama-Biden—within the margin of error! Please, click here now to rush an online contribution to the Michigan Republican Party. Your support will help us show that the race is far from over in Michigan!
The new poll, conducted by Denno-Noor for the Rossman Group and MIRS Newsletter, also showed McCain leading in Oakland County 45-33! McCain and Obama are tied at 38% among voters age 18-35, and McCain is only down by 2 points (33%-31%) among independents—with a huge 29% of independents still undecided! This is promising news for McCain-Palin and our entire Michigan ticket!
Here’s a link to the poll results. Of course, he picks the one recent poll that looks even remotely favorable to their ticket and ignores the numerous other polls that show the opposite. The two other recent polls listed at RealClearPolitics show Obama with a 10 and 13 point lead respectively.
Adding up all the recent polls gives Obama a 7 point lead on average and that lead has been increasing over the last few weeks. As the chart on that page shows, on September 9-10 the two campaigns were virtually tied at 45%. A week later, the average was 47-45. A week after that it was 48-43. Now it’s at 49-42.
And we can safely assume that the McCain campaign’s internal polling must have shown the same thing, or possibly even worse, to spur them to pull out of the state and move their resources elsewhere.