Michigan’s gubernatorial and congressional races are getting national attention because of their potential to help shift the balance in the U.S. House of Representatives to the Republicans in November. Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post writes that a blowout win in the governor’s race could help swing two key House races:
Rick Snyder may be House Democrats’ biggest nightmare.
The Michigan Republican, a former head of the Gateway computer company, is running way ahead of Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D) in the Wolverine State’s gubernatorial race. (A poll released Sunday gave him a 20-point advantage.) Such a wide margin for Snyder creates the potential for a down-ballot sweep that could wash out Democrats’ chances in two hotly contested House districts.
He specifically mentions two races that have already gotten a lot of attention — the 1st District race to replace Rep. Bart Stupak, where Republican Dan Benishek squares off against Democrat Gary McDowell; and the 7th District, where Democratic Rep. Mark Schauer faces the man he defeated for that seat in 2008, Republican Tim Walberg.
Both are key swing districts where Obama barely won a majority in 2008. Cillizza writes that there is “considerable concern among Democratic strategists that a poor performance at the top of the ticket could make just enough difference to sway the 1st District and 7th District races against them.”