With the raging success of the cash for clunkers program and signs that sales have begun to rebound, auto industry analysts are predicting a big jump in August. Automotive News reports that one major analyst is predicting an annualized sales rate that hasn’t been seen since in two years:
The cash-for-clunkers program could push the annualized U.S. selling rate to 13 million in August, J.P. Morgan Securities analyst Himanshu Patel says.
The federal program increased the seasonally adjusted annualized selling rate by about 1 million in July, Patel said today in a research note.
Most of the bump came at the end of the month, “suggesting the August SAAR could reach 13 million,” Patel wrote. That’s assuming the U.S. Senate approves a House bill adding a further $2 billion to the $1 billion already appropriated for the program.
Patel says that with inventories being dramatically reduced, the Big Three automakers will have to boost their production for the third quarter to ensure that they have enough vehicles on hand. At last, some good news for the Michigan economy.